Sense — Predict reality

Forecasts you can check.

We predict what happens next in markets, in networks of people, and in your own data. Every call is published with a date and scored in public when the date arrives.

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PredictionMadeResolvesConfidenceStatus
AI-CapEx ↔ AI-revolution: within 30 days of 2026-05-10, mainstream press carries 'AI-bubble' framing, utilities see rotation inflows, or an AI pure-play prints a sharp drawdown.10 May 202609 Jun 2026— Correct
Mainstream-econ ↔ Fed-pivot: within 30 days of 2026-05-10, markets reprice a Fed pivot, 'monetary regime shift' framing shows up in central-bank-adjacent communications, or the 10Y moves >25 bps on a named narrative.10 May 202609 Jun 2026— Correct
Energy-transition ↔ AI-CapEx: within 30 days of 2026-05-10, grid is named as the AI-cascade bottleneck, AI builds slip on permitting, or capital rotates into power and utilities.10 May 202609 Jun 2026— Correct
Privacy-coin ↔ Stablecoin CLARITY: within 30 days of 2026-05-10, a named privacy-coin faces regulatory action, a major exchange delists one, or ZEC mean-reverts ≥30% from its April peak.10 May 202609 Jun 2026— Missed
AI-CapEx ↔ application-layer: within 30 days of 2026-06-09, 'circular financing' framing appears in ≥2 mainstream outlets, an AI pure-play draws down −15% in a day, or SOXX outperforms IGV by ≥500 bps rolling 20d.09 Jun 202609 Jul 2026— Correct
Mainstream-econ ↔ Fed-pivot / Warsh: within 30 days of 2026-06-09, the June FOMC median prints ≤1 cut for 2026 with easing bias dropped, Fed-independence framing surfaces in ≥2 outlets, or the 10Y moves >25 bps attributed to Warsh.09 Jun 202609 Jul 2026— Correct
AI-CapEx ↔ energy-throughput: within 30 days of 2026-06-09, a hyperscaler attributes a delay to grid or permitting, a utility prints a 52-week high or earns ≥2 upgrades citing AI-power, or BYOP framing lands in ≥3 mainstream articles.09 Jun 202609 Jul 2026— Correct
Crypto-institutionalization ↔ Privacy-coin: within 30 days of 2026-06-09, a US or EU regulator makes a privacy-coin statement, a major exchange delists one, or a privacy-coin index beats BTC by ≥2000 bps rolling 20d.09 Jun 202609 Jul 2026— Missed
285
predictions published
8
resolved so far
75%
correct, misses included

State it. Date it. Score it.

  1. State itA prediction is one sentence that will turn out true or false. No hedging, no ranges wide enough to hide in.
  2. Date itEach one is published with the day it was made, the day it resolves, and how confident we are.
  3. Score itWhen the date arrives, the result goes on the record. Misses stay up next to the hits.

What we can point it at

Forecasting

Dated predictions on the questions your plans depend on, tracked the same way as our public ones.

People and networks

Who knows whom, who influences whom, and the shortest warm route to the person you need.

Custom instruments

A prediction tool built on your data for one recurring decision, with its own running scorecard.

Point one at your biggest bottleneck.

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